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June 15, 2015
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No Limit Holdem Tournament PokerStars
9 Players
$10+$1
Blinds 3.5k/7k 9
UTG guilhermesk 148k
UTG+1 chiseldurrrr 224k
MP1 noname1255 254k
MP2 SanychStar 163k
MP3 Moggy_Lufc69 767k
CO PearlJammer 191k
D SvZff 150k
SB Hero 418k
BB napoli6340 338k
9 18k Hero is SB Q A
6 folds, SvZff raises to 15k, Hero raises to 45k, napoli6340 goes all-in 337k, SvZff folds, Hero calls 291k
2 697k, 1 all-in 2 J 8
2 697k, 1 all-in A
2 697k, 1 all-in 9
Hero shows a pair of Aces Q A
napoli6340 shows a pair of Tens T T
Hero wins 697k (net +359k)
SvZff lost 16k
napoli6340 lost 338k
Hey guys
Please have a look at the hand above. It was a $11 SCOOP Event which I played this weekend.
It was a tough spot, but I thought the call with AQo was correct, but I’m not sure. What do you think?
Thanks for the help!
TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
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Have you tried putting together some possible ranges for the Villain and looking at your equity vs those ranges? That should always be your first step when analyzing a decision whether to call a shove pre-flop.
May 14, 2013
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I would say also some information about the situation in the tournament and villain.
calling a cold 4 bet shove of 50bb with AQo, you should have really strong read about him doing that with a wide range. basically you are flipping with a big chunk of this range and doing pretty bad vs AK.
I did some calculation for you 🙂
villain range:
1- TT+, AQs+; AKo you are -10bb ev
2-99+, AJs+; AQo+ –> -4bb ev
3-you have to add AJo in his range to start to be profitable, +1bb, even if you don’t put AJo but all his pocket pair you’re doing it wrong
so do you think this guy will cold 4 bet with AJo, ATo, and a bunch of Ax, Kx in order for your call to be profitable?
at Nash equilibrium your call is +EV but he has to shove 15.5%, 33+ A7s+ A5s ATo+ K9s+ KJo+ QTs+ JTs
June 15, 2015
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Thanks for the help guys… I think you are right, that he’s definitely not shoving a range, that I can call profitable against.
He’ll probably cold 4bet AJ, but thats the top of his range I guess. Was lucky to flip this time.
September 30, 2013
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nicki369 said
Thanks for the help guys… I think you are right, that he’s definitely not shoving a range, that I can call profitable against.He’ll probably cold 4bet AJ, but thats the top of his range I guess. Was lucky to flip this time.
While it could happen I don’t think you should assume someone cold 4bet shoves AJ for 50bb. The only time that would be a good play is if BTN always opens if folded to and if SB 3bet alot from the blinds (SB specifically). And even then I think a shove is bad with AJ. A cold 4bet to around 95k looks stronger and gives possibility to fold if SB actually has picked up a hand and doesn’t close action meaning if BTN shoves and SB calls action isn’t closed as BB can still 6-bet here. That would make any action from SB as call or 6-bet shove a very strong indication that AJ is never good.
Unless I’ve seen it I wouldn’t put such hands in a players range with cold 4-betting shove 50bb. The only time I would assume a wider range then normal is if the tournament i progressive knockout and the BTN has a high value or if the BB is a complete maniac.
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