A A A

Home Forum Brags, Beats and Variance 2018 Review

Topic Rating: 0 (0 votes)

2018 Review

3for3

High Stakes Shark

Members

Forum Posts: 201

Member Since:
July 24, 2018

Offline

January 1, 2019 - 11:00 am

Just going through my numbers, wanted to take a look to see how I did in 2018:

I played 80 tournaments (80 entries really). I cashed in 16 of them, which is clearly better than average. However, I worry that I played a little too tightly near the $. I don’t bubble too often, and perhaps I need to be a little less fearful of the bubble. I only recall 2 significant bubbles. One was the stone cold bubble with KK vs AA.

Breaking it down by buyins:

I played 24 low level; cashed 5 times for ROI of 1.12

I played 43 medium levels; cashed 10 times for ROI of 0.86 (This number concerns me; cashing well above average but still losing)

I played 13 big buy ins, only cashed one but (sick brag, it was a GOOD one) for 2.19.

I know these are very small sample sizes, but I do think I tighten up too much close to the bubble. I also find myself much more willing to play higher variance early on; once I have 5x starting stack or the like, I get too much loss aversion (I played this long, don’t want to blow it all now). That ends when I get to push/fold/3bet shove mode, I am fine with my play there, it’s more the 35-50BB stack that I protect too much.

Killingbird

Cary, NC

TPE Management

Forum Posts: 4582

Member Since:
April 6, 2010

Offline

January 10, 2019 - 1:26 pm

tightening up too much on the bubble can definitely be an issue. I know it has been for me in the past, and sometimes still is.

Wish i had magic advice for how to get over that!

3for3

High Stakes Shark

Members

Forum Posts: 201

Member Since:
July 24, 2018

Offline

December 30, 2019 - 10:36 am

2019 review.

I had a tough year in 2019. Played 73 entries. Cashed 9 times; won another 4 buyins in bounties.

I did well enough in the dailies (mostly $100 buyins), had about 120% return on buyins (or 20% ROI)

In the medium stake events, I had a few cashes, and had about a 48% return on buyins. I had one very frustrating 4th that could have easily been a first, which would have put me in the black here as well.

In the biggest events, mostly Venetian and WSOP I was 0 for 10. Don’t need to calculate ROI here :(.

Overall, I cashed for 63 buyins, so without adjusting for entry size, I was close to breaking even. Adjusting for entry size, I had a measly 28% return. I did play the Main Event at the WSOP, which will always skew my results, since my average buyin for the rest of the year was about $300

Obviously one can’t draw inferences from my small sample sizes, but I do notice that there is a significant widening of the gap between the dailies and the bigger events. Most of my WSOP and Venetian bigger buyins had much stronger fields than they have in the past. The good players definitely seem to be getting better while those who just play to play (fun players?) aren’t adapting at all.

Forum Timezone: America/New_York

Most Users Ever Online: 2780

Currently Online:
28 Guest(s)

Currently Browsing this Page:
1 Guest(s)