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February 2, 2015
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I'm looking for any advice i can get on any aspect of my situation. I'm looking to formulate a plan of attack:
Back story: i've been playing in a league with 25 eople for a seat in the WSOP Main Event. We played 10 games over the last 6 months and in each game players earned points based on their finish. 25-1st, 24-2nd, 23-3rd….
At the end of the season the top 6 points earners make the final championship game automatically. The remaining 19 players play a final play-in game. The top two from that game get the last 2 spots at the 8 man final championship game.
Top prize is $12,000 for a seat in WSOP main event + travel, 2nd prize is $1675 buy-in to WSOPc main event, 3rd-8th get nothing. However, everyone in the league has a stake in the winners as 20% of any winnings from the prizes given will be split between all players in the league.
Chip stacks at the final table start at $50k for the top point earner and reduce by $4k for each spot below so 8th starts with $22k. I finished in 4th and will start with $38k.
Player | Starting Stack |
Player1 | $50k |
Player2 | $46k |
Player3 | $42k |
Hero | $38k |
Player5 | $34k |
Player6 | $30k |
Player7 | $26k |
Player8 | $22k |
We'll be starting with blinds at 50/100 and playing 19 minute levels. Antes are introduced at level 3 which is 25/150/300.
I'm not sure who will be on my right or left as we'll be drawing for seats, but I've had the pleasure of playing with all of these players many times before, so here are my reads:
Pre-flop – In general players in the league 3-bet pre-flop almost never, but when it does happen it doesn't induce many folds since many of these players only raise or call a raise outside of the button or blinds with premium hands anyways. 2.5-3x the bb seems to be the standard open. A min raise is almost always called by sb and bb
Post flop – c-bets are frequent and donk bets are usually very large. Not many floaters unless they have a big draw. sizing tells may be frequent here to anyone paying close attention.
Player1: Young solid player. Usually tight aggressive, but capable of loosening up quite a bit if he has big stack and position. Bets thin value hands and bluffs more frequently than most to steal pots where he senses weakness.
Player2: Older TAG. Doesn't play out of position often, good at hand reading and playing the player not the cards. Very hard to read his hand as he almost always has position on you, c-bets often, calls c-bets often, but may have some sizing tells if he is the aggressor.
Player3: Older Tight Passive. Tends to only play face cards and pairs and usually chips up from 1-2 monster hands that get paid off but will steal blinds when the opportunity arises.
Hero: TAG image. these players respect my game and generally consider me one of the best players in the group (thanks TPE!). Most have told me that if they don't win the seat, then they would be happy to see me win it as they feel I have a better chance of winning them some money back compared to most others (referencing the 20% stake for all players in the league). Maybe they are just being cordial, but in general I am very well liked by everyone in the league.
Player5: Probably my biggest nemesis. Very solid player, great with the numbers of the game and plays a tight aggressive style. Gets aggressive with big stack and willing to apply pressure using push-fold with 6-12bb, but not great at changing gears so if he gets aggressive at any point he tends to stay that way for much longer than he should.
Player6: Solid femail player, but a little too tight and passive for my tastes. Plays well but unless she gets paid off with a monster then her stack gets eaten away by blinds and ante as she doesn't get aggressive enough to keep up with the levels as they rise
Player7: Solid player that would have finished much higher except that he missed several games during the season. He's likely the most loose aggressive player at the table which will only be amplified by his short chip stack. He'll be looking to chip up early and is willing to be as aggressive as needed to make that happen. He's able to tighten up when needed, but his emotions get the best of him sometimes and is easily tilted.
Player8: Decent rec player that is currently on a great run. Cards are falling his way, which likely has his confidence up. A bit of a wildcard on how he will play short stack in the championship game, but generally he's a tight-passive player and doesn't utilize his position as well as he should.
Any help anyone provides would be greatly appreciated. I'm looking for help with getting mentally prepared for this game, any subjects recommended for me to study up on, any video suggestions, any general recommendations based on the info provided, etc.
February 2, 2015
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Here is what I've come up with so far.
Given one-shot nature of the tournament where only top two get paid I expect there to be a lot of hesitancy with getting it in with marginal hands. I expect more frequent folds when pressure is applied.
Also, given the players' tendencies to fold too often to 3-bet pre-flop and only every 4-bet with ultra premium hands, I'm thinking that a polarized 3-betting range would work best along with smaller bet sizing. With this strategy I don't expect to get 4-bet very often and only with QQ+ and maybe AKs allowing me to fold the lower end of the 3-bet range if a 4-bet occurs.
There are also some blind levels where the ante is 1/3 or more of the small blind. In these levels I plan to ratchet up the aggression to steal more pots at these levels.
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