Hello, TPE!  This is my first time posting a hand to these forums.  I’ve learned a TON since joining the site about 2 months ago, and I’ve been looking for the opportunity to have something discussion-worthy to post.  I’m hoping this one meets that criteria.

The hand below took place in a $9k GTD, $11 rebuy/add-on tourney.  The villain (BTN) in this hand was, to me at least, an usual player type.  He’d been to my immediate left since about level 3 or so, and at the time he transferred, he was a MONSTER chip leader in the tournament, having amassed somewhere around 10 starting stacks at that point.  As you see below, he’s running about 16/5 over the sample we have, and I can say with high confidence that his 3-bet% was accurate despite the small sample.  That, coupled with what I noticed was a very low c-bet frequency, suggested this villain was as straightfoward as they come.  His dominant stack so early on was the only real anomaly to me, though I suppose it could have been some huge multi-way pot when he held the nuts.   

In-game thoughts:

Preflop – Fairly standard raise here from CO.  I’m using a slightly larger sizing at this table to dissuade the 3-bet happy SB and BB players from playing back at me.  Villain (BTN) has been very fit-or-fold post flop, and has not put pressure on me at all to this point, so I’m expecting to take it down on the flop at a high frequency.  BB calling here complicates things a bit, so I’m expecting to have to slow down on the c-betting, depending on runout.  

Flop – We nail the set, with 2 rather beautiful overcards and a draw-heavy board.  I expect the main villain to have a piece fairly often, and if he folds, BB is likely to check-raise a decent amount of the time.  I size up my c-bet from my more typical 1/4 to 1/3 pot due to the wider calling ranges I expect to see on this board.  When BTN calls, I’m assigning him a very strong continuing range, with KT the likely bottom.  BTN might not even raise KQ here, and I am not discounting any KQ combos from his range.  I’m not surprised at all to see BB fold.

Turn – As stated before, I’m not discounting KQ from villain’s range.  Against 95% of the players in this tournament field, I’m betting here and am very happy to get it in.  Against this particular villain, I don’t believe I would be a favorite if all the chips get into the middle.  I’m thinking that if I made any significant mistake(s) in the hand, that checking here might be one.  Thoughts?

River – River completes a straight, and KT now gets there, though I do figure to be ahead of a fair portion of villain’s range. 

I left all of the river action in the spoiler section, because I’d like to hear what you guys think we should do here. 

Thanks!

NL Holdem $800(BB)
EP ($39413) [VPIP: 30.4% | PFR: 19.6% | AGG: 20.7% | 3-Bet: 4.3% | Hands: 58]
MP1 ($25306) [VPIP: 22.5% | PFR: 14.1% | AGG: 14.3% | 3-Bet: 3% | Hands: 71]
MP2 ($26109) [VPIP: 10.7% | PFR: 2.4% | AGG: 25.9% | 3-Bet: 7.4% | Hands: 85]
HJ ($27790) [VPIP: 22.8% | PFR: 13.9% | AGG: 12.8% | 3-Bet: 5.7% | Hands: 80]
HERO ($43951) [VPIP: 25.5% | PFR: 17.2% | AGG: 31.7% | 3-Bet: 9.4% | Hands: 32515]
BTN ($44680) [VPIP: 16.4% | PFR: 5.5% | AGG: 23.7% | 3-Bet: 4.9% | Hands: 146]
SB ($33625) [VPIP: 25.4% | PFR: 11.9% | AGG: 49.1% | 3-Bet: 11.6% | Hands: 118]
BB ($37923) [VPIP: 24.3% | PFR: 15.1% | AGG: 22.6% | 3-Bet: 6.3% | Hands: 320]
UTG ($28760) [VPIP: 31.1% | PFR: 4.2% | AGG: 26.1% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 119]

Dealt to Hero: 5 5

UTG Folds, EP Folds, MP1 Folds, MP2 Folds, HJ Folds, HERO Raises To $2025, BTN Calls $2025, SB Folds, BB Calls $1225

Hero SPR on Flop: [4.98 effective]
Flop ($7195): K 5 Q
BB Checks, HERO Bets $4225 (Rem. Stack: 37621), BTN Calls $4225 (Rem. Stack: 38350), BB Folds

Turn ($15645): K 5 Q K
HERO Checks, BTN Checks

River ($15645): K 5 Q K T

[B]HERO???