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88 Preflop pretty close spot
Chuck Blaze
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April 30, 2013 - 8:57 pm
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IPoker, $3 Buy-in (150/300 blinds, 50 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager – The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

MP2: 6,553 (21.8 bb)
MP3: 6,016 (20.1 bb)
CO: 16,952 (56.5 bb)
Hero (BTN): 17,100 (57 bb)
SB: 8,096 (27 bb)
BB: 19,774 (65.9 bb)
UTG+1: 1,970 (6.6 bb)
UTG+2: 17,520 (58.4 bb)
MP1: 7,960 (26.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 8h 8c
UTG+1 raises to 1,920 and is all-in, 2 folds, MP2 raises to 6,503 and is all-in, 2 folds, Hero ???

 

Looking for thoughts on this spot. MP2 had been pretty tight overall at the table although he was a 10bb stack most fo the time playing finding a standard spot to double with KK.

packallama
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April 30, 2013 - 11:21 pm
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This looks like a very easy fold with a 22bb reshove over a UTG+1 6bb shove. Without running any numbers, my guess would be to reshove with TT+, AKo, AQs+. Although that range may need to be tighter with your read on MP2 and us being 57bb effective with the BB.
On a side note, why is there a UTG+1 and no UTG in your hand history?

Edit*
I ran the number through nash. Here are the equilibrium ranges for purely +cEV.
UTG: 31.2%, 22+ A2s+ A3o+ K4s+ K9o+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T9s 98s
MP2: 9.8%, 44+ A9s+ AJo+ KJs+
BTN: 5.9%, 88+ AJs+ AQo+
MP2’s reshoving range in nash is wider than I would expect from a player in game so our overcalling range should be tighter as well. Factor in any ICM and/or the edge that you have on the field and the range I guessed seems appropriate.

Foucault

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May 1, 2013 - 2:36 pm
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Pack,

 

Apologies in advance for what may be a naive question, but when you say “ran the numbers through Nash”, what exactly do you mean? Do you have a tool that calculates this for you? I'd be very curious to see it, if so.

Thanks!

Andrew

Chuck Blaze
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May 1, 2013 - 9:23 pm
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I guess what is still confusing me about this hand is that I think we are so ahead of UTG1 shove, and that I think MP2 range might even be wider now cause of maybe his perceived wideness of UTG1 and that would warrent taking a shot here. I'm still having trouble fitting in the two big blinds in this spot theory wise in my head.

 

also, i'm thinking about how there being no ICM implicatation (mid-late tourney) that I could take a spot like this know to really chip up as we approach the bubble and ITM.

 

curious how what others think of the above ramblings.

ashj22
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May 1, 2013 - 10:55 pm
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this to me is just an easy fold you have 57bb so you dont need to take margianl spots which this definately is imo.

packallama
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May 1, 2013 - 11:53 pm
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Foucault: I used the Nash ICM Calculator on HoldemResources. It calculates the equilibrium shoving ranges for a particular hand. You can add in specific payout structures which will greatly influence the ranges. Another good thing to understand is that equilibrium ranges mean that if you and your opponents were to adjust to one another infinitely, those would be the completely unexploitable ranges. Using equilibrium ranges in game is often not the best play because it assumes that your opponents are playing perfectly which is usually far from the truth. 

Here is the link: …..shicm.html

Chuck Blaze: Even though there is no ICM in this spot, if we assume that we have an edge on the remaining players then we should call tighter. In this spot I think think it is reasonable to cut off the bottom of the equilibrium reshoving range to account for an edge and the likelihood that both players are not likely to be shoving as wide as nash suggests. 

ashj22: Your reasoning is actually backwards. The larger your chip stack, the more willing you should be to take marginal spots. I recieved some advice from a professional Super Turbo player and coach who was very adamant about that fact. And naturally, the converse is true as well. This logic doesn't apply to cash games or tournaments with a payout structure of 1. With that said, there is some influence from ICM all throughout tournaments even when it isn't completely obvious which we should account for in playing. 

Foucault

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May 2, 2013 - 9:11 am
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Thanks, Pack. I do know what the equalibrium part means, was just curious what tool you were using to solve it. 🙂 I didn't know that existed, thanks! Also I agree with your comment to ash about being more willing to take marginal spots when they don't threaten the last of your chips (which isn't exactly the same as having a large stack – if you had a 10x average stack, you still wouldn't want to put it in “marginally” against another 10x average stack).

ashj22
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May 2, 2013 - 11:48 am
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packallama said:

Foucault: I used the Nash ICM Calculator on HoldemResources. It calculates the equilibrium shoving ranges for a particular hand. You can add in specific payout structures which will greatly influence the ranges. Another good thing to understand is that equilibrium ranges mean that if you and your opponents were to adjust to one another infinitely, those would be the completely unexploitable ranges. Using equilibrium ranges in game is often not the best play because it assumes that your opponents are playing perfectly which is usually far from the truth. 

Here is the link: …..shicm.html

Chuck Blaze: Even though there is no ICM in this spot, if we assume that we have an edge on the remaining players then we should call tighter. In this spot I think think it is reasonable to cut off the bottom of the equilibrium reshoving range to account for an edge and the likelihood that both players are not likely to be shoving as wide as nash suggests. 

ashj22: Your reasoning is actually backwards. The larger your chip stack, the more willing you should be to take marginal spots. I recieved some advice from a professional Super Turbo player and coach who was very adamant about that fact. And naturally, the converse is true as well. This logic doesn't apply to cash games or tournaments with a payout structure of 1. With that said, there is some influence from ICM all throughout tournaments even when it isn't completely obvious which we should account for in playing. 

I DONT AGREE MY REASONING IS NOT BACKWARDS AT ALL.

The Move
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May 2, 2013 - 3:32 pm
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Easy fold here, dont need to race at this point, have a good stack – let it work a little. 

kingten102
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May 2, 2013 - 3:40 pm
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fafafafafafafafollllllllllllld!

 

NASH is a great tool for sure.  Betudontbet says he uses NASH to guide him to FTs every session.

 

also check out flopzilla, if you guys haven't yet.

 

flopzilla.com

markconkle
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May 2, 2013 - 8:10 pm
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Ash, your reasoning isn't “backwards” but that doesn't mean it's right.  If you have 1203971289741203651BB, you should be perfectly happy getting 50.00001% on 20BB, right?  Sure, if you are a small stack, you are more likely to take a mariginal edge for your whole stack, but your willingness to get X chips in at 51% should generally (not always) go up when you have more chips.

Sprangle
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May 3, 2013 - 2:56 am
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I agree with Mark. You don't have an edge in this hand. At best your are guessing and hoping you are even flipping.

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