RonFezBuddy said:

hmmm…how many streets do we think we can get out of this guy now that we’ve hit our hand.

 

My guess is that the A is a scare card and with no strong draws we are more likely to get him to either bluff the river or call a river bet than we are to have him call a 2nd barrell with what is likely a weak pair.  I’m not too worried about being behind here or being out drawn on river.

 

So I check behind and get value on the river.

I sorta agree, a guy with these stats isnt flatting too wide so he has some sort of hand, I’d guess his range is more weighted towards pocket pairs 22-77ish and some broadways and semi-weak aces. I think against that range bet check bet is the way to go. For me, knowing how quickly he called pre and on flop would factor into the decision somewhat as well.

He didn’t take much time to think about any of his decisions in this hand, like it didn’t give him the 15 second warning at any point.

I checked turn thinking the A wont help him, he will raise his bigger A’s pre and fold the smaller ones on flop, I think he raises QT on the flop more often than not altho it can’t be totally ruled out, so I think he has mid pairs, Jx,Kx hands, A6 maybe possible.

I checked turn and he bet half pot, if I call it leaves him with a bit less than a pot sized bet, so if he bets river when I check it will most likely be a jam. Do you play it this way? What hands so you think he will jam river with and do you call or fold depending on the card? Sucks being OOP as we can be bluffed off the best hand on alot of rivers here.