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AQo on the bubble
pedactor
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July 25, 2010 - 7:01 pm
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23 left, 18 pay….we're sitting at about 12 or 13. Villain had been opening quite a bit from EP, and I had just picked off his steal about 2 hands earler. Knowing he can't fold with 15 bb open, what's our play here? Folding seems weak…but after he just got is steal picked off, and I think it happened a couple times from different players….do I assume he has to have a monster here? Is this a fist pump break my arm off shove??

Poker Stars $4.00 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t200/t400 Blinds + t50 – 8 players

Hand Conversion courtesy of Tournament Poker Edge

wiley 1966 (CO): BB = 43.3, t17314
Forzani (BTN): BB = 24.2, t9699
LULUBABLU (SB): BB = 32.1, t12845
A.Remior (BB): BB = 41.0, t16380
poke@bird (UTG): BB = 16.1, t6459
Booth21 (UTG+1): BB = 15.8, t6319
G�o_ (MP1): BB = 16.3, t6501
Siryeti (MP2): BB = 13.9, t5577

Pre Flop: (t1000) Forzani is BTN with Q of diamonds A of hearts
1 fold, Booth21 raises to t900, 3 folds, OUR TURN?????

rcfromtn
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July 25, 2010 - 8:07 pm
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I'm shipping. If villan has been opening a lot then there is no reason to think he has a monster here just because he didn't shove…….stick it in you are ahead of his range…..nearly double up then crush this thing

JDOG1645
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July 25, 2010 - 11:11 pm
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rcfromtn said:

I'm shipping. If villan has been opening a lot then there is no reason to think he has a monster here just because he didn't shove…….stick it in you are ahead of his range…..nearly double up then crush this thing


+1

ttwist

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July 26, 2010 - 1:14 pm
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100% ship gl

a10fouru
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July 26, 2010 - 2:03 pm
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Before answering, answer this: has his openning size been consistent? Or have you noticed him min-raise and fold to a 3-bet? Or has he 3x'd it at the same or similar blind level?

pedactor
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July 26, 2010 - 3:32 pm
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a10fouru said:

Before answering, answer this: has his openning size been consistent? Or have you noticed him min-raise and fold to a 3-bet? Or has he 3x'd it at the same or similar blind level?


 

Opening size has been 2-2.5x. Yes, he has folded to 3 bet, in fact just 2 hands earlier I 3 bet  him off his min raise as it was the 4th time he had done it.

malcolm
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July 27, 2010 - 12:01 pm
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I have been gettin aq in this spot alot and running extrmly bad.  I think its a hand u cant let go to a guy like this or anybody (15bbs) i think u can be crushing a9s-aj and kq and flipping alot with others that if u do win u can have a great stack for after bubble.  Now u just have to run better than me.

FkCoolers
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July 27, 2010 - 12:08 pm
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It's not a fist pump shove but it's a shove since you'll get called by a lot of weaker Ace hands at these stakes. You'll also get called by KQ but KQ is the nuts online so just log off if that happens because the K is coming.

lespaulgman
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July 27, 2010 - 1:11 pm
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FkCoolers said:

It's not a fist pump shove but it's a shove since you'll get called by a lot of weaker Ace hands at these stakes. You'll also get called by KQ but KQ is the nuts online so just log off if that happens because the K is coming.


 

I'd ship it. I'm not dancing, but I'd get it in on him. As far as KQ being the nuts, it is for everyone else but me…Cry

a10fouru
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July 27, 2010 - 2:01 pm
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The fact that he is UTG gives me pause before screaming out an answer. I would actually have liked to see him play a few hands – especially UTG – before making a decision. However, with limited info, and the stack sizes…I shove and hope to be flipping.

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