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January 27, 2013
I am playing a daily special £140 tournament, 30mins clock. we are at 50/100 and there is a lot of limp calling going on. Starting stack is 20k and effective stacks in this hand are about 23k.
We are UTG+2. UTG opens to 300 and we flat with 44. 7 players see the flop!
It's checked to me. With so many players in I guess someone must have a king or a draw so I bet 1000. Only the BB calls. he is 45ish, I assume loose passive at this stage.
Turn is another K
BB checks to me. At this stage of the tourney I don't like slow playing, so I bet out again 2500 and the BB clicks it back to 5000. I have now about 19k behind.
At this point I put him on a Kx, 55s is a possibility as well
What's the better line here? Flat and then stick the money in on the river or just raise all in on the turn? I doubt this is the type of villain that can fold KT+ on this board, but then again if I shove on top of him I look super nutted.
All advice welcome.
December 6, 2012
No reason not to call and get it in on river IMO. I think if he has a K you're at least as likely to stack him by calling, and on the outside chance the he's bluffing or raising 88 or something stupid, might as well give him a chance to put a bit more in. That said, I'd prefer bigger sizing on flop and turn. Check out my series "Getting Paid" for more on value targeting and planning.
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