hi guys,

this hand came up during the recent Champion CHip Tournament on Ongame.

Villain in this hand runs 19/14 with 6.2% 3bet (he 3bet from MP 4/24 possibilities). Fold to Cbet is 67% all on 175 hands

His OPF says ABI of 260$ with 2% ROI on 320games

i was running 21/18 with 64% Cbet Flop and 50% Cbet turn

Ongame Network CHAMPIONCHIP [$75,000 Gtd] No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t80/t160 Blinds – 10 players – View hand 2330318
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter

OnPart (MP3): t7616 47.60 BBs
b8chatz (CO): t5020 31.38 BBs
Fish_Gill (BTN): t11264 70.40 BBs
bttf88 (SB): t6140 38.38 BBs
Jonny756 (BB): t8580 53.62 BBs
_Anakin_ (UTG): t4580 28.62 BBs
dextersback (UTG+1): t4590 28.69 BBs
Hero (UTG+2): t9039 56.49 BBs
Sirocko1 (MP1): t4150 25.94 BBs
all_eyezonme (MP2): t4930 30.81 BBs

Pre Flop: (t240) Hero is UTG+2 with J A
2 folds, Hero raises to t320, Sirocko1 calls t320, 6 folds

Flop: (t880) 9 Q A (2 players)
Hero ???

what you think his preflop range looks like?

 i would say something like:

AA-88,AQo,AQs-AJs,KQs-KJs,QJs,JTs,T9s with AA,KK 50% discounting

FLOP:

on the flop what is he calling with?

i d say everything that has me beat, including top pair, 2P+. maybe raising 99?

so if he calls with all his mid pairs and top+ he has me beat 48% of the time

together this means he folds 42% of the time to my Cbet and i have him beat 52% of the time when he calls.

Is this enought to justify a Cbet here? what are the plans for future streets?

how you react to:

1.) flat

2.) raise

3.) shove

we will look at the future streets once we get there 😀

cheers