Sunday Special Hand History Review/Live Sweat with Matthew “theginger45” Hunt (Part 5)
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MORE IN THIS SERIES : Part 1 | Part 2 | Part 3 | Part 4 | Part 6
Concepts In This Video: 3-Betting • Day 2 • Final Table • Final Table Bubble • HUD • live sweat • Midstakes • Popular MTTs: Sundays • Post-flop • pre-flop
Antricko123
Any1 no when part6 will be up ? Great series by the way m8 learnt a lot from it
theginger45
Part 6 is up already! Thanks man, glad you’re enjoying it!
LanguidlyClinical
Seems like you’ve got the maths all messed up on 99 hand against kampiuceriss. You’re effectively putting in 630k vs. him and you can’t say “once I’ve put in X amount I’ve only got a bit left to call so I only need 99 to have 29% equity”. It’s more like 45% equity. Although fold equity helps you out some.
LanguidlyClinical
Which you kind of said a minute after I paused the video. Sorry.
Assuming sheetneedI is opening 20% and continuing with only JJ+,AK (which he shoves, and assuming kampo folds to 4bet y of the time and shoves the rest:
EV (raise to 260K, folding to sheetneedI and calling kamposaurus) = (3/20)(-247500) + (17/20)(230472y +(1-y)(0.33*1355741-616933))
=340008.5y – 181233
>= 0 if y >= 0.533
assuming also that 99 has 33% vs. kampo’s shove range.
Does that sound about right?
In game, I would have frozen, tanked and folded. Then i’d forget about the hand right after
nicknamer
On the 99 hand, I look at the dead money in the pot (about 230k), and kampi’s stack (about 500k). I assume for simplicity’s sake that when I 4-bet, sheet shoves about as much as kampi folds, so those outcomes are a wash. Most likely kapi is shoving, and in the end,I will be putting 500k into a 730k pot, getting a little worse than 1.5/1, and needing about 40% eq against kampi’s 3-bet range. If he’s 3-betting 88+AQo+(6%), it’s about breakeven. Any wider, and we’re printing money. Thanks a lot for the great videos. You’re hard work on the game is evident, and I’ve learned a lot from them.