WCOOP Live Sweat and Progressive KO Theory with Andrew Brokos (Part 2)
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MORE IN THIS SERIES : Part 1 | Part 6 | Part 5 | Part 4 | Part 3
Nas47
Hi Andrew. At timestamp 21 mins you river a boat and you shove for 2x pot in the $109BB and I did not understand why you picked that sizing instead of a smaller sizing. I assumed villain’s range would be weak Kx, Tx, very few super tricky str8s and a 9 which is unlikely as we block it significantly. Are u going for max value from a K by polarizing your bet and making it look super bluffy? Thanks for your feedback in advance.
Foucault
Simply put, I’m trying to win as much as I can when I have a huge hand, and the way to do that is to bet as much as I can. The question I’d ask you is why would you want to bet less than that? I assume your answer would be something like, “Because opponent probably doesn’t have a very strong hand and I fear he would fold very often to a shove.” Which, if you believe that, I wonder how often you shove in a spot like this as a bluff?
Nas47
Thanks for the response. I learned the hand reading I used above from watching your video. One of the things you mentioned in your hand reading series part 3 is “when you have a monster hand and villain has no monsters, aim to maximize value from his best marginal hands, don’t blow him out.”. This is why I would want to bet less than that. Does this not apply for this case?
Foucault
That’s why I asked the question about whether you would bluff here. There’s no easy answer to the question of “How much will Villain be willing to call with a marginal hand?” If you believe that he never has better than a marginal hand, and he’ll never a call a shove with a marginal hand, then of course it makes sense not to shove with your monsters. My point is that it would also make sense to shove with your bluffs. If you have no idea how he’ll respond to a shove, then shoving your monsters AND at least some bluffs is a superior strategy to betting smaller with either sort of hand. So yes, you don’t want to “blow him out”, but it’s not always clear that a shove would do that, even if you’re right that he has a marginal hand. In spots where you have many hands that would like to bluff, it’s not trivial for Villain to fold marginal hands even to very large bets.
Nas47
Now I understand! Awesome explanation 😀 Thanks